The recession warnings that followed investors into 2026 have not turned into a full-blown downturn yet, but they also ...

The probability that the National Bureau of Economic Research will someday determine a national recession began in the U.S. between December 2025 and December 2026 has fallen below twenty percent.

Fears of a slowing economy and worries about tariffs have spurred young Americans to point out so-called recession indicators. Some businesses are also picking up on the trend, with dining ...

Home prices soared in 2021 and 2022, and as a result, the cost of residential real estate is now overinflated by roughly 25% in many parts of the country. Combined with mortgage rates that have ...

Prediction market bettors are increasingly expecting the U.S. economy to enter a recession this year. Kalshi's market for whether the U.S. going into a recession in 2026 hit its highest level since ...

For months, people have been talking about indicators of the dreaded R-word: recession. There have been the usual suspects: economists, investors, businesspeople and journalists. But maybe the most ...

Economists at the International Monetary Fund noted that the war in Iran could slow global economic growth, warning that persistently high oil prices could potentially push inflation to 6% by next ...

The US economy is under strain, and the oil price shock could tip it over into recession. “People are preparing themselves for the fact that we are already in a recession now or that there is a high ...

Recession risk has dropped from April according to many economists, including J.P. Morgan and economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal. I am not forecasting a recession now (late July 2025), but ...