The Hawaiian Volcano Observatory expects Kilauea’s next lava-fountaining episode to begin between July 24 and July 30, 2026, with the highest probability falling on July 26 through July 28. The ...

Prediction markets and a move toward AI forecasting are starting to put the accuracy of weather predictions at risk. Here’s ...

When it comes to statistics, we usually expect to be informed about what happens "on average." But sometimes the key ...

An international research team involving the University of Bayreuth has, for the first time, analyzed the "inner workings" of ...

Slight cooling trend expected: The model forecasts a mean anomaly 0.07°C below 2024 levels, suggesting a potential stabilization after the record-breaking temperatures of 2023-2024. Seasonal pattern ...

Storm Agnes is seen over the Bay of Biscay offshore western Europe on 27 September 2023 in this image captured by the Flexible Combined Imager on the Meteosat Third Generation satellite. Credit: ...

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) on Sept. 18 advanced four reliability measures for the U.S. bulk power system (BPS), formalizing frameworks around supply chain risk, cloud computing ...

In forecasting economic time series, statistical models often need to be complemented with a process to impose various constraints in a smooth manner. Systematically imposing constraints and retaining ...