pathmc is a Python package for Bayesian path analysis and structural causal modeling. You write your causal assumptions as a small set of structural equations in a lavaan-inspired formula language, ...

Abstract: Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all ...

Abstract: Normal operating zones (NOZs) are the variation spaces of multiple related variables under normal conditions. This paper proposes a search-cone-based method to establish NOZ models and ...